Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2150.292125 2335.904646 2524.337195 2729.660462 2946.790506 3169.283415 3414.209996
2025-02-16 1823.314446 2096.269763 2384.368608 2709.957829 3066.525312 3444.012009 3872.706443
2025-02-23 1645.596568 1972.871359 2328.237365 2740.399951 3202.874717 3703.450406 4283.841508
2025-03-02 1490.156242 1853.139937 2257.061877 2735.962735 3284.309276 3888.710754 4601.319548
2025-03-09 1391.004476 1785.871427 2234.661655 2776.785940 3408.114532 4114.482804 4958.757877
2025-03-16 1270.967587 1683.875802 2162.970800 2752.201104 3449.507215 4240.746603 5198.532279
2025-03-23 1212.528884 1650.112206 2166.792676 2811.856513 3585.426108 4473.336766 5559.221020
2025-03-30 1138.382513 1591.582344 2136.128524 2826.122512 3664.351077 4637.217354 5838.760872
2025-04-06 1066.364783 1530.861093 2098.544399 2828.167345 3725.520066 4777.965658 6089.813667
2025-04-13 962.197608 1423.062582 1997.094593 2746.549042 3680.758378 4788.899974 6183.878999
2025-04-20 942.006363 1422.793883 2029.656591 2830.643022 3838.341554 5042.905365 6569.431613
2025-04-27 907.595911 1401.422071 2033.455791 2877.106827 3948.577186 5239.478577 6886.541671
2025-05-04 852.643635 1350.508193 1997.920223 2873.194032 3996.719648 5362.264789 7117.715103
2025-05-11 794.484902 1292.240506 1950.250848 2851.551418 4021.047949 5455.083578 7312.508579
2025-05-18 761.224453 1266.751362 1944.499728 2883.151710 4112.197273 5630.387091 7609.110571
2025-05-25 717.139316 1223.452255 1912.659754 2878.548289 4155.490554 5745.153794 7830.644051
2025-06-01 692.784317 1207.277219 1916.715183 2920.895179 4259.162403 5935.938963 8147.628997
2025-06-08 647.007152 1157.172520 1871.754635 2895.393500 4272.735304 6011.718870 8320.141874
2025-06-15 632.990265 1153.718655 1891.413540 2957.269711 4401.240666 6234.247447 8678.449910
2025-06-22 604.876192 1127.353683 1877.435669 2972.064828 4466.766743 6376.029019 8935.065533
2025-06-29 574.608589 1096.095622 1855.118282 2974.185442 4514.579050 6494.650137 9162.410125
2025-07-06 520.858209 1025.067794 1772.526198 2889.530332 4443.343088 6457.120393 9188.599610
2025-07-13 518.946318 1036.908587 1811.579180 2976.752846 4605.692105 6725.037912 9608.822311